iPhone 14 Plus fails at failing, Apple and Foxconn rerun a play in India, and developers get release candidates of Apple operating systems.
DSCC Data Shows iPhone 14 Plus Outperforming iPhone 13 mini
Interesting notes and an odd assertion today on iPhone 14 Plus. The notes are from Display Supply Chain Consultants (DSCC), brought our way by both MacRumors and 9to5Mac. The DSCC report looks at panel shipments for iPhones from June of last year through next month (somehow), comparing those to the panel shipments for the same period a year earlier. In so doing, theyâre able to guesstimate the performance of the iPhone 14 line versus the iPhone 13 line. Looking at a âbreakdown of panel shipments by model for the iPhone 13 vs iPhone 14,â 9to5Mac says:
- Panel shipments for iPhone 14 Pro Max are up 23% versus itâs counterpart in the 13 line
- Panel shipments for iPhone 14 Pro are up 22%
- Panel shipments for iPhone 14 are down 36%
- And â saving the most interesting for last â Panel shipments for iPhone 14 Plus are up 59% versus panel shipments for the previous generationâs iPhone 13 Mini
That last one is strange, I know. Not an apples-to-apples comparison, if youâll pardon the use of that term. Weâll come back to that. For the latest line as a whole, MacRumors says:
âŠthe iPhone 14 series looks to be marginally more popular than the previous series, with a 2% increase in the number of year-on-year panel shipments as of April, apparently buoyed by increased sales of the more expensive Pro models at the cost of fewer standard iPhone 14 models being sold.
Boy does that discount the 14 Plus, which is a habit just about everybody is in. âA number of reports have suggested the iPhone 14 Plus is selling worse than Appleâs expectations,â according to the piece from 9to5Mac. The number of reports cited in the piece is two. Maybe two and a half. It links to an article written for 9to5Mac back in October, based on an article from The Information, as well an article written for 9to5Mac back in November, based on a Tweet from display analyst Ross Young.
Okay, But What’s It All Mean, Ken?
A lot is being based on those two sources. The first part of the 9to5Mac headline says, âiPhone 14 Plus sales are too small for AppleâŠâ Okay⊠I mean, Apple never said so, but â whatever. Writing for 9to5Mac, Chance Miller says near the end of the piece:
âŠI think we (and maybe even Apple) sometimes forget that not every iPhone can be a best-seller. The iPhone 14 Plus might be missing Appleâs sales target, but Apple is still selling millions of them. Apple needs to decide whether itâs ok having a niche iPhone in the lineup.Â
Youâre killing me. Youâre so close to there, but youâre not there. Apple seems to have decided âwhether itâs ok having a niche iPhone in the lineup.â Itâs made a few iPhone SEs at this point. It made the iPhone 12 mini, it made the iPhone 13 mini, and now itâs making iPhone 14 Plus.
Some people âsometimes forget that not every iPhone can be a best-seller.â That is true. That said, the only indication we have that Apple is in that group are pieces like the one from The Information and the Ross Young Tweet, and pieces written based upon them.
Apple and Foxconn Seek Changes to Labor Laws in Indian State of Tamil Nadu
News of a push for new labor practices in India. News that sounds so familiar, I had to make sure the story wasnât a repost. According to a piece from Bloomberg (via Economic Times), secret sources say Apple and Foxconn are lobbying for changes to labor laws in the Indian state of Tamil Nadu. According to the report:
The suggested changes include allowing factories to operate two shifts of 12 hours each, instead of the previous three shifts that each went on for eight hours.
The piece goes on to say:
The envisioned changes could also encourage more women to work in factories. By having more flexible shifts, women could avoid commuting on night buses â often seen as an unsafe option.Â
It all sounds really familiar, right? Thatâs because itâs all happened, just not in Tamil Nadu. It was just over a week ago that the Financial Times ran a piece on labor law changes in the Indian state of Karnataka. That report had changes in that sate allowing:
âŠfor 12-hour shifts, up from the previous limit of nine hours. It also eased rules on night-time work for women, who dominate electronics production lines in China, Taiwan and Vietnam but are under represented in Indiaâs workforce.
That said, âApple and its suppliersâ seem to be going a bit further in Tamil Nadu. According to secret sources in Bloombergâsreport, the companies âare also in talks to build large working womenâs hostels in and around factory complexes, which would reduce travel timeâŠâ
No word in the piece on when changes in Tamil Nadu might be enacted, though they could be big for Apple and Foxconn. That state is home to Foxconnâs biggest iPhone plant on the subcontinent, according to Bloomberg.
Foxconnâs Bangaluru Plans Move Forward
Meanwhile, the changes in Karnataka were apparently aimed at new business â specifically a new Foxconn plant. Earlier this month, a piece from Bloomberg (via Apple News) had Foxconn planning to spend $700 million on a 300-acre facility in Bengaluru, in the state of Karnataka. Secret people said to know something about something said the plant would make parts for iPhones. Additionally, the piece said:
The factory may also assemble Appleâs handsets, some of the people said, and Foxconn may also use the site to produce some parts for its nascent electric vehicle business.
Plans for the plant are moving forward, though a piece from AppleInsider says Foxconn is paying more than originally expected and getting less than it may have hoped. Citing a piece from the Times of India, AppleInsider says Foxconnâs outlay has risen from US$700 million to US$968 million. Additionally, while initial plans had called for the creation of 100,000 jobs at the plant, the latest numbers put the new jobs expected closer to 50,000.
Morgan Stanley: App Store Needs Not Fear Possible Microsoft Mobile Game Store
âMicrosoft poses âbiggest potential threatâ to Appleâs App Store.â That is the gist of a note from Morgan Stanley, according to a piece from CNBC. Spoiler: Itâs really no threat, according to Morgan Stanley â at least no time soon. Hereâs what happened.
Earlier this week, Microsoft Gaming exec Phil Spencer said that his company could open a new app store for games sometime in 2024 â if regulators approve Mr. Softyâs $75 billion buy of Activision Blizzard and if the European Unionâs Digital Markets Act (DMA) forces Apple to open the iPhone and iPad ecosystems to third-party app stores.
Those are two ifs worthy of note. They bring us back to CNBC, which had Morgan Stanley saying in a note on Tuesday that if Microsoft makes it past those other two ifs and if it is able to launch its own app store for games on iThings, it would represent an âimmaterial riskâ to Apple, though it would be a âlong-term threatâ to keep an eye on.
It would be âimmaterial,â according to the firm, because Activision Blizzard and Microsoft âaccounted for less than 1% of total Apple Services revenue combinedâ in 2022. As for why it would be worth keeping an eye on, the analysts say:
If we took a ‘worst case’ view of the world and said the potential Microsoft app store could take all EU gaming revenue from the Apple App Store â given the focus of the DMA is just in Europe, for now â that would equate to 8% of App Store revenue, 2% of Apple Services revenue, and a ~1% hit to Apple company-level revenue and EPS.Â
That⊠still doesnât sound threatening. And Morgan Stanley seems to agree, even as it uses the word âthreat.â Quoting the analysts again:
We estimate the impact of a potential Microsoft App Store on the iPhone would be limited to <3% of App Store revenue and <0.5% of EPS, but it still represents the biggest potential threat to the App Store today.
That is a weird assertion.
Morgan Stanley has a âBuyâ rating on Apple Shares, according to TipRanks. The firmâs price target on the shares is $180.
New Round of OS Release Candidates Out to Apple Developers
New operating systems are just around the bend, my Huckleberry friend â and maybe new hardware as well. First, a big round of release candidates was made available to developers on Tuesday. Pieces from MacRumors note the arrival of release candidates for iOS and iPadOS 16.4, macOS Ventura 13.3, watchOS 9.4, tvOS 16.4, and Studio Display Firmware 16.4 to members of Appleâs developer program.
Raised Voices, Fewer Duplicate Photos
Additional pieces noted a few new features. Theyâre not sexy, but theyâre not nothinâ. For example, one MacRumors piece says iOS 16.4 brings âvoice isolation for cellular calls.â Spelled like it sounds, the feature should separate voices from other noises â elevating the former and sinking the latter. According to the report:
Apple says that Voice Isolation will prioritize your voice and block out the ambient noise around you, making for clearer phone calls where you can better hear the person you’re chatting with and vice versa.
Also coming soon â duplicate image detection for the iCloud Shared Photo Library. Another piece from MacRumors points out that Apple added duplicate image detection for the Photos app with the arrival of iOS 16. âIf you have duplicate images,â the piece says:
âŠthe âPhotosâ app displays a âDuplicatesâ folder in the Utilities album section. From there, you can merge all of your duplicate images together.Â
While that works for the Photos app, it does not work for the iCloud Shared Photo Library. Come iOS 16.4, it will. Three cheers.
Other upcoming iOS 16.4 features weâve heard about before. Theyâre said by MacRumors to include ânew emojis, Push Notifications for web apps, bug fixes for HomeKit, Crash Detection optimizations, and more.â There is of course no word on exactly when the operating systems will see wide release. Next week feels somewhere between âpossibleâ and âlikely.â
Code in iOS 16.4 RC References Unreleased Earables
And what of this âmaybe new hardwareâ I mentioned? Eh, stick it in your ear, maybe. Yet another piece from MacRumors says this weekâs iOS release candidate âappears to hint at a new set of AirPods that could be coming in the near future.â Citing a post from Twitterâs @aaronp613, the piece says under the hood code references unreleased AirPods and an unreleased AirPods case.
While the hints may be there, MacRumors has trouble buying it for a couple of reasons. First â there have been no new AirPods rumored, and second, âit is early for Apple to update the earbuds,â in the siteâs estimation, âas they were just refreshed in 2021.â Still, they donât seem willing to discount the idea entirely.
New AirPods arenât the only earables referenced. âEarables,â by the way â not a word. But you could totally hear some idiot saying it, right?
Yes, I know what I just said.
Anyway, a piece from 9to5Mac says this weekâs iOS release candidate also references an unreleased pair of Beats Studio Buds+. Just like 2021âs Beats Studio Buds, the report says the Buds+ âwill have active noise cancellation and transparency mode.â Additionally, code indicates support for âaudio sharing, automatic device switching, and âHey Siri,â just like AirPods and other Beats wireless earbudsâŠâ
With their apparent inclusion in the iOS 16.4 release candidate, 9to5Mac expects an official Beats Studio Buds+ announcement in the very near future.
Sunsetting Exposure Notifications API
And finally today, news of a feature finding the exit in the iOS release candidate. A piece from 9to5Mac says Apple is opening the escape hatch for the Exposure Notifications API for COVID-19 contact tracing.
It was a technological feat in early 2020 when Apple and Google teamed up to launch that API. The plan was to let users know when they had possibly been exposed to COVID-19. This would allow them to get tested and isolate, if necessary.
The amazing part was the APIâs ability to do this while protecting the privacy of people who opted in. Well, that was one amazing part. The other amazing part was the resistance with which the API was met. The U.S. went with contact tracing on a state-by-state basis. Some states used the Apple/Google API. Some did not. Even in states that did go Silicon Valleyâs way, there didnât seem to be a huge push. Now, when iOS 16.4 hits, 9to5Mac says health departments will be able to end their support for the system. Folks in a system dropping support will receive a message, saying:
Your health authority has turned off Exposure Notifications. Your iPhone is no longer logging nearby devices and will not be able to notify you of possible exposures. Previously collected exposure data is automatically deleted.
Today on The Mac Observerâs Daily Observations Podcast
TMO writer Nick deCourville and I kick around the iPhone 14 Plus story⊠Plus: Have you heard Steve Jobsâ thoughts on COVID-19? Weâve got a creepy talking A.I. story on the Daily Observations Podcast from The Mac Observer â online at macobserver.com, or wherever you get podcasts.